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固化与流动,2018电子产业展望
发布日期:2018/7/2 15:44:18

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SHOUJIFUZENGZHANG,YUANQIJIANYINGYONGZOUXIANGHEFANG?

 

WULUNSHIQUANQIUSHICHANG,HAISHIZHONGGUOSHICHANG,2017NIANZHINENGSHOUJICHUHUOLIANGJUNCHUXIANXIAJIANG,CIWEISHISHANGSHOUCI。

 

SHICHANGFENXIJIGOUIDCDESHUJUXIANSHI,2017NIANQUANQIUZHINENGSHOUJICHUHUOLIANGBI2016NIANJIANSHAO0.1%,JIANGZHI14.724YIBU。ERZUOWEIQUANQIUZUIZHONGYAODEQUYUSHICHANG,ZHONGGUOZAOZAI2014NIANJIUJINRUDISUFAZHANQI,DANFUZENGZHANGHAISHIDIYICICHUXIAN,GENJUSHICHANGFENXIJIGOUCanalysGONGBUDESHUJUXIANSHI,2017NIANZHONGGUOZHINENGSHOUJISHICHANGZONGCHUHUOLIANGWEI4.59YIBU,NIANBIXIAJIANG4%,YOUQISHIDISIJIDUDECHUHUOLIANGWEI1.13YIBU,YUSHANGNIANTONGQIXIANGBI,DIEFUDADAOLE14%。

 

ZHONGMEIDENGGUOSHOUJIGENGXINHUANDAIZHOUQIZHENGZAIBIANZHANG,SHOUJICHANGSHANGSHULIANGZAIKUAISUJIANSHAO,SHICHANGFENEJINYIBUXIANGGUATOUJIZHONG,SHOUJISHICHANGZHUJIANBUPCSHICHANGHOUCHEN,TUPOXINGCHUANGXINNANMI,GEJURIYIGUHUA。

 

5GDAILAIXINCHANGJING


BUGUO,ZHINENGSHOUJISHICHANGYEYUNYUZHEXINBIANSHU,DIWUDAITONGXINJISHU(5G)DESHANGYONGHUALUODI,JIANGWEIZHINENGSHOUJIYINGYONGTUOZHANGENGDUOXIANGXIANGKONGJIAN。ZAI5GGUIHUADESANDAYINGYONGCHANGJINGZHONG,ZENGQIANGYIDONGKUANDAI(eMBB)JIUZHUYAOZHENDUIFANSHOUJIYINGYONGCHANGJING。SUOWEIYIDONGKUANDAIDEZENGQIANGZHUYAOTIXIANZAISANGEFANGMIAN:FUGAIFANWEIGENGGUANG、LIULIANGMIDUGENGGAO、CHUANSHUSULVGENGKUAI。


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       XIANGBI4G,5GTONGXINLIULIANGMIDUTISHENG1000BEI,CHUANSHUSULVTISHENG100BEI,WANGLUOCENENGXIAOTISHENG100BEI,YIDONGXINGYECONGZHICHI350GONGLIMEIXIAOSHITISHENGDAOZHICHI500GONGLIMEIXIAOSHI- -CONGERKEFUGAIGAOTIEXIANLU,ZHEIXIECANSHUDETISHENG,SHIDEYIDONGWANGLUODEFUGAIFANWEIYUYINGYONGCHANGDIGENGWEIGUANGFAN,ZAIDAXINGHUICHANG、GOUWUZHONGXIN、BANGONGLOUDENGRENLIUMIJIDEDAGUIMOJIANZHUZHONGYIDONGTONGXINDETIYANJIANGDAFUGAISHAN,TEBIEDUIYUANCHENGBANGONG、YUANCHENGYILIAO、YUANCHENGJIAOYUDENGYINGYONGYOUJIDACUJINZUOYONG。

 

       XUNIXIANSHI(VR)YUZENGQIANGXIANSHI(AR)CHANYE,YEJIDAI5GJICHUSHESHILAIJIHUO。VRYUARDUIWANGLUOZUIDIYAOQIUYUEWEI200Mbps,ERDUORENSHISHIJIAOHUNEIRONGDESUDUZHISHAOXUYAOSHUGpbs,4GWANGLUONANYIZHICHENG。5GTONGXINGAOCHUANSHUSULV、DIYANSHIJIGAOTONGXINRONGLIANG,JIANGSHIDEVRYUARZAIQUDIAOYOUXIANLIANJIESHI,YEBUHUICHUXIANFENBIANLVYUSHUAXINLVBUGOUDEWENTI。


ZIDONGJIASHITUIDONGCHEZAITONGXINFAZHAN


ZUOWEI5GDELINGYIGEZHUDAYINGYONGCHANGJING,GAOKEKAODIYANSHI(uRLLC)MOSHIZHUYAOZHENDUIQICHEJIGONGYEYINGYONG。RIQIAN,MEIGUOJIALIFUNIYAZHOUCHELIANGGUANLIJU(DMV)BIAOSHI,2018NIAN4YUEQI,YUANCHENGJIANKONGDEWURENJIASHIQICHEJIANGKEYIZAIJIAZHOUDAOLUSHANGJINXINGCESHI。ZAICIZHIQIANSUOSHANGLUDEWURENJIASHIQICHE,DOUXUYAOANQUANYUANZUOZAIFANGXIANGPANHOUMIANSHIKEJIANCECHELIANGZHUANGTAI,DANSHICONG4YUEKAISHI,ZHENZHENGDEWURENCHEJIANGHUIKAISHISHANGLU,ANQUANYUANKEYIYUANCHENGDUICHELIANGJINXINGJIANKONG。ZHEIYIGUIDINGCHUTAI,BIJIANGJINYIBUCUJINCHEZAITONGXINDEFAZHAN。

 

DANGQIAN,ZHUANYONGDUANJULITONGXIN(DSRC)YUJIYUFENGWOWANGLUOJISHUDECHEZAITONGXIN(C-V2X)JUNYOUGEZIDEZHICHIZHE。DSRCFAZHANJIAOZAO,ZHIJINYIYOUSHIYUNIANLISHI,JISHUXIANGDUICHENGSHU。C-V2XFAZHANJIAOWAN,2015NIANCHU,YOU3GPP(3rd Generation Partnership Project)ZHENGSHIQIDONGJIYUC-V2XDEJISHUXUQIUHEBIAOZHUNHUAYANJIU,YU2016NIAN3YUEWANCHENGC-V2XXUQIUYANJIU,2016NIANCHU3GPP JIAGOUGONGZUOZUQIDONGC-V2X JIAGOUYANJIU,YU2016NIANDIWANCHENGBIAOZHUNHUA。3GPPYU2017NIANXUANBULEDIYITAOJIYUFENGWOJISHUDEV2I(QICHEJICHUSHESHITONGXIN)HEV2V(CHEJIANTONGXIN)TONGXINDEC-V2XWULICENGBIAOZHUN。

 

DSRCZAIMEIGUOHEOUMENGFAZHANJIAOHAO,OUZHOUYIJINGKAISHIDEZIDONGJIASHIHUOCHEBIANDUIZHUYAOCAIYONGDSRCJISHU,ENZHIPUHERUISADENGGONGSIZAIDSRCXINPIANSHANGYIJINGYOUHENDUODEYINGYONGANLI。DANSHI3GPPSHILIYEFEICHANGQIANGDA,HUAWEI、AILIXIN、YINGTEER、NUOJIYA、GAOTONGDENGYEZAIJIJITUIDONGC-V2X XINPIANHESHEBEICHANYEHUA,AODI、FENGTIANDENGCHEQIFENFENLIANHETONGXINQIYEKAIZHANC-V2X JISHUCESHI。C-V2X ZAICHANYEHUAJINCHENGFANGMIANYUDSRCDECHAJUZHUJIANJIANSHAO。



CHEZAITONGXINYUANQIMUBIAOSHIJIANGQICHEBIANCHENGYIGEJUDADEYIDONGZHONGDUAN,DANYOUYUCHEZAITONGXINDUIKEKAOXING、RONGCUOXINGYUANQUANXINGYAOQIUJIGAO,FAZHANSUDUKENDINGBUXIANGXIAOFEIDIANZISHICHANGYIYANGYICUERJIU。BUGUO,QICHELIANWANGHUA、DIANDONGHUAYUZHINENGHUADEFAZHANFANGXIANGYIJINGBUKEZUDANG,BILEISENYANDEQICHECHANYEJINJINIANYONGRULESHUBAIJIAXINGONGSI,ZHEIXIEXINGONGSIJIHUMEIYOUYIJIAQUCONGSHICHUANTONGQICHEKAIFA,DOUZAIMIAOZHUNZHINENGHUADIANDONGQICHEZHEIGEFANGXIANG。

 

DIANDONGHUAQUSHIWURENNENGDANG


ERCHUANTONGQICHECHANGSHANGYEKAISHIQIUBIAN,DUICHUNDIANDONGQICHEFAZHANBUTAIREZHONGDEFENGTIANQICHE,ZAI2017NIANXIABANNIANDUIGONGSIJIAGOUJINXINGLEDADIAOZHENG,BINGXUANBUJIANGZAI2020NIANZUOYOUTUICHU10KUANCHUNDIANDONGCHEXING,FENGTIANZHANGNANGENGSHIZAI2018NIANXIAOFEIDIANZIZHANSHANGBIAOSHI,FENGTIANGONGSIJIANGZHUANXINGWEIYIJIACHUXINGFUWUGONGSI。OUZHOUJIDAQICHEGONGSIZAICHUNDIANDONGLUXIANSHANGYEKAISHIJIADATOURU,BAOMATOUZI2.4YIMEIYUANYUDAZAOQUANQIUZUIDADIANCHIYANFAZHONGXIN,DAIMULEYETOUZI5YIOUYUANZIJIANDIANCHIGONGCHANG,DAZHONGQICHESHENZHIXUANBUZHI2030NIANQIAN,JIANGZAIDIANCHIYUDIANDONGQICHELINGYUTOUZI700YIOUYUAN。

 

YUANBENCHENGSHUJIANGHUADEQICHESHICHANGGEJU,ZAIXINJISHUCHONGJIXIA,YOULEBUQUEDINGXING,CHUANTONGQICHEGONGYINGLIANJIAGOUZHENGZAIMIANLINZHONGGOU,LINGBUJIANGONGYINGSHANG,YOUQISHIZHUYAOXINPIANGONGYINGSHANGDUIYUQICHECHANYEDEZHUDAOQUANJIANGZENGQIANG,RUGUOQICHEZHENDECHENGWEICHAOJIYIDONGZHONGDUAN,ZEQICHECHANYEGONGYINGLIANYOUKENENGBEIGONGYINGSHANGSUOZHUDAO。

 

WULIANWANGKANNBIoT


HAIYOUYIXIESHICHANG,ZHENGZAICONGZIYOUSHENGZHANGZHUJIANZOUXIANGCHENGSHU。WULIANWANGYINGYONGJIUSHIRUCI,SUIRANSUIPIANHUAZHUANGKUANGYIRANCUNZAI,LIANWANGBIAOZHUNRENGBUTONGYI,LIANWANGSHEBEIANQUANSHANGWUGENBENJIEJUEBANFA,DANSHICHANGDUIYUWULIANWANGDEJIESHOUDUMINGXIANZAITISHENG,YOUQIZAIGONGYEJISHANGYONGWULIANWANGLINGYUTEBIEMINGXIAN,GONGYEWULIANWANGDETOUZIHUIBAOYOUMINGQUESHUZIKEYICANKAO,XIANGDUIERYAN,SHANGYEMOSHIBUQINGXIRENGRANSHIXIAOFEIWULIANWANGBUWENBUHUODEGUANJIANYUANYIN。





2018NIANNBIoTRUHEPOJUJIANGSHIWULIANWANGSHICHANGDEZUIDAKANDIAN。RANGDIANXINYUNYINGSHANGCANYUDAOWULIANWANGSHENGTAIZHONG,JIANGDUIZHENGGEWULIANWANGSHICHANGCHANSHENGZHONGDAYINGXIANG,ZHINENGJIATING、ZHIHUILOUYU、ZHINENGLINGSHOUDENGXIAOFEILEIWULIANWANGSHICHANGJIANGYOUWANGDEDAOGENGDADITUIDONGLI。

 

ZHENZHENGDEJIHUISHICHANGZAIYILIAOZHIWAI

ERQUKUAILIANYURENGONGZHINENGDENGREDIANJISHUYEKEYIRONGRUDAOWULIANWANGZHONG。ZHEIYILUNRENGONGZHINENGRECHAOYIJINGCHIXULELIANGNIANDUO,HENDUOCHUCHUANGGONGSICHANPINZAI2018NIANYAOKAISHILUODI,MUQIANRENGONGZHINENGZUICHENGSHUDEYINGYONGDOUJIZHONGZAISHIPIN(TUPIAN)YUYINPINCHULILINGYU,ANFANGJIANKONGDENGWULIANWANGZHONGDUANSHEBEISHITAMENTIANRANDEMUBIAO。

 

2017NIAN,QUKUAILIANDUIDIANZICHANYELIANDEYINGXIANGMOGUOYUBITEBIKUANGJI。YOUYUBITEBISHICHANGHUOBAO,KUANGJIGONGBUYINGQIU,JINGRANZAOCHENGLEDUOZHONGYUANQIJIANGONGYINGJINZHANG。BITEDALUZAIJINGYUANDAIGONGLONGTOUTAIJIDIANDESHICHANGFENEJINCIYUHUAWEIHAISI,WEILIEDALUSHEJIGONGSIDIERWEI,ZHEIYIDINGCHENGDUSHANGZAOCHENGLEJINGYUANZHIZAOGONGYINGJINZHANG,HAIYOUFENXISHIRENWEI,TAOCIJICENGDIANRONG(MLCC)DEQUEHUOYEYUKUANGJIREXIANGGUAN,CONGBITEDALUYITAIKUANGJIYONGDAOYUE190KEZHUANYONGXINPIAN,KEYIPANDUANCHUYONGLAILVBOQUOUDEMLCCDIANRONGSHULIANGZHISHAOZAI5000KEYISHANG。

 

ZHEIZHONGYILIAOZHIWAIDEYINGYONGHUOBAOQILAI,DUIZHENGGEGONGYINGLIANDECHONGJIFEICHANGDA(YINWEICIQIANSHENGCHANYUSUANMEIYOUGUJIZAINEI),ER2017NIANCUNCHUQIDEJIAGEBIAOZHANG,YERANGSANXINGBAYINGTEERLAXIAMA,CHENGWEIXINDEQUANQIUDIYIDABANDAOTICHANGSHANG,ZHONGJIELEYINGTEERLIANXU24NIANBABANGDELISHI。


2018NIANDIANZICHANYEZOUSHIJIUJINGRUHE,DAODINAXIEFANGXIANGYOUZHENZHENGDEJIHUI,ZHIYOUQIESHIZOURUXINGYE,YUSHANGXIAYOUMIQIEJIAOLIU,CAINENGZHENZHENGLIJIEXINGYE,KANQINGZOUSHI。

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